Atlanta at Ottawa

Atlanta's offense has been bad this season. It has picked up of late but the Thrashers are still averaging 2.2 goals per game and just 1.9 per game on the season. Their defense has showns signs of improvement as they have kep their last three opponents to 7 total goals. Ottawa can score but they are very stingy on defense, allowing only 1.9 goals per game on the season. In November games over the past decade, home teams that have won 4 out of their last 5 games have gone UNDER 49-21 (70%) to a total of 6 or higher. The Senators are 17-6 UNDER at home vs. losing teams dating back to last season. We like the UNDER here.