Atlanta at Carolina

When these teams met on November 10th, eight goals were scored. We expect another high scoring affair here. Atlanta can't play defense and Carolina can score. The Thrashers are giving up 3.7 goals per game on the season (3.9 per game on the road). Carolina scores 3.6 per game. So, we expect Carolina to find the net easily. On the other side, it would appear on the surface that Atlanta might have trouble scoring a lot as they average just 2.7 per game and Carolina allows 2.8. But, if we look more closely, especially at recent trends, we see a different story. Over the past five games, Atlanta is averaging 3.6 per game and Carolina is allowing 3.4! The Hurricanes are 23-10 OVER the past couple of seasons at home after allowing 4+ goals and 43-25 OVER after allowing 3+ goals for two straight games. The history, momentum and trends all point to a ton of goals tonight and we'll back the OVER.