Arizona at Edmonton

The Oilers host a hot Phoenix team that has won five in a row. Edmonton has won two of their last three. Phoenix has benefited by the play of Ilya Bryzgalov in goal. The problem is they are allowing a ton of shots on goal (30.1 on the season and 32.0 over their last five). Road teams on a five game winning streak win just 40% of the time in their next game. If the home team has won 2+ straight, then that percentage drops to 32%. The total in games between these two teams has gone OVER 77% of the time the past ten years including seven of nine games the past three seasons. We like Edmonton's chances at scoring here, and Phoenix is 29-16 OVER vs. teams that allow 2.9+ goals per game over the past three seasons. We like this one to go OVER as well.