This pick was released to clients on August 06, 2012 at 8:29PM ET.
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Anaheim at Edmonton

May 25, 2006
img8:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

With as crazy a playoffs as this has been, how can we not look to the underdog here? Especially in a must-win-avoid-the-sweep game. Sure, teams don't always win when their backs are against the wall but Anaheim is a solid team. They could have won the last two games. Instead, they are down 3-0 and a sweep seems unlikely to me. Anaheim knows it is now or never and if they can win this, they go back home where anything can happen. The Ducks, despite their recent struggles are 15-5 this season revenging a 1 goal loss this season and 15-9 after allowing 4+ goals. Edmonton is 1-6 this season at home off a home win in which they scored 4+ goals. Anaheim has held playoff opponents to 2.2 goals per game. In a must-win, getting a dog with this value that plays that kind of defnse spells value to me. Ducks here.

1 unit on Anaheim +153 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.53)
Result:
WIN
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