Anaheim at Detroit

The reputation of playing in 19 consecutive postseasons has the Red Wings clinging slightly to the favorite role here, but I don't think they are the better team, even on home ice. The Ducks outscored them here 6-3 in the two meetings in this series, and own an overall 16-11 scoring advantage in the series. It is tough to win when you're allowing over 3 goals per contest in the playoffs. It took Detroit until the last day of the regular season to make the playoffs, and that is because they are a marginal team that finished their last 36 games below .500, and that included under .500 in the 17 home games over the same period of time. Detroit has had a great two decade run, but they aren't what they once were, and their last eight quarterfinals games show them at 2-6. Go with Anaheim.