Calgary's two weak spots are being exploited in this series: soft defense and not enough big bodies to bang with Anaheim. Calgary is #16 in the NHL in goals allowed and #20 in penalty killing. They've also allowed nine goals in two games. The OVER is 15-5-1 when the Flames are at home against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. Anaheim has a powerhouse offense, #11 in the league in goals scored, though the defense is #20 in goals allowed. Anaheim is 5-2-1 OVER the total playing on one day of rest, plus 6-2 OVER following a win. And when these teams meet the OVER is 4-1, including 4-1 OVER the total in this building. Play this one to finish OVER the total.
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