Ottawa Senators vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Ottawa has won the past four meetings, although this is the first this season, and the Senators have won four of five in their best stretch. They come off a 3-0 win over Carolina last night as Linus Ullmark had 30 saves, and Ottawa is 3-0-2 UNDER its past five games. The Senators are 4-0-1 UNDER in the third game of a 3-in-4-days situation. Pittsburgh has lost eight of 11 road games, and the Penguins have lost six of seven on the road versus Ottawa, which has gone UNDER five of seven against Eastern Conference opponents. Anton Forsberg is probable for the Senators, and he owns a 2.95 goals-against average with two shutouts this season. The Penguins have split their past four games as they come off a 9-2 trouncing of Montreal, but that was after they lost 6-2 to Colorado two nights before. Take the Senators and the UNDER.

Pittsburgh has an opportunity to end a three-game skid as it goes to Ottawa to play the Senators, who have lost seven in a row while scoring only 14 goals in that span. The Senators are coming off a disastrous 0-4 road trip, including a 2-1 loss to lowly San Jose on Saturday. Joonas Korpisalo is likely in net for Ottawa with a 13-20-4 record and a 3.39 goals-against average this season. Ottawa is in last place in the Atlantic Division and it has lost Korpisalo's past six starts. Tristan Jarry is expected to start for Pittsburgh with a 2.71 goals-against average and six shutouts this season. The Senators enjoyed two impressive wins against Dallas and Vegas in late February, but they haven't won since and they have played six of their past seven on the road. Take the Penguins as a Max Play. 

Pittsburgh has a winning record and has won four of five. The defense is seventh in goals given up (2.71 per game) and third in save percentage. Last-place Ottawa has losing records both home and away and is riding a six-game losing streak getting outscored 29-17. The defense is 28th in goals surrendered (3.54 per game) and 30th in save percentage. Ottawa is 13-24 at home after scoring three or more goals in two consecutive contests, plus 6-21 after a road game where both teams scored three or more goals. Play Pittsburgh. 

It has been an up-and-down season for both Ottawa and Pittsburgh. Ottawa is really struggling right now as the Senators have lost 5 straight games and the defense has left the building. The Senators have allowed at least 5 goals in all 5 games. They are also allowing an average of 5 goals per contest in their last 7, and none of those 4 teams have scored fewer than 5 times. They have also played 10 of their last 12 contests over the posted total, and the 10 games that went over the total averaged a combined 8 goals per contest. Pittsburgh hasn't fared much better. The Penguins have allowed 4 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games and it is hard to see this game not being high scoring. Four of the last five meetings have seen 7+ combined goals scored in this series. Make the play on the OVER.