Chicago Blackhawks vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Tampa Bay has a +36 goal differential, the second-best in the Eastern Conference and the third-best in the league. They're working on two days of rest and are No. 1 in the NHL in scoring (3.61 goals per game), sixth on the power play, and second in shooting percentage. The defense is 11th in penalty killing, 10th in goals given up, and fourth in save percentage (.910). Last place Chicago is getting outscored by 39 goals, the second-worst differential in the NHL, and is on a 3-11 slide. The Black Hawks are 31st in goals scored (2.60 per game), while the defense is 29th in goals surrendered (3.43 per game) and 19th in save percentage (.899). Play Tampa Bay. 

Tampa Bay is favored but getting outscored on the season and is 2-4-2 away from home. This is their sixth road game over the last eight contests, coming off a 5-0 loss at St. Louis as a favorite. They've lost three in a row getting outscored 14-3. Tampa Bay is 59-107 in November road games and 12-21 revenging a loss where the opponent scored four goals or more. Chicago is 3-3 over the last six games, knocking off defending champion Vegas on the road as a +265 underdog, a 5-2 rout of Florida as a +175 dog, and a 5-3 win at Tampa Bay at +195 two games ago. The Blackhawks have played nine road games and only four home contests, the fewest in the NHL. With Tampa Bay 9-17 after allowing five or more goals, back the home dog. Play Chicago on the moneyline. 

Chicago had a big 5-2 win over Florida before losing 4-2 the following night to New Jersey, but the Blackhawks have had three days off to prepare for this one against the Lightning. Petr Mrazek is the likely goalie for the Blackhawks with a 3-3-0 record and 2.81 goals-against average and .923 save percentage this season. Jonas Johansson is expected in net for Tampa Bay and he is 5-1-4, but with a 3.17 GAA. The Lightning come off a 5-3 victory over Montreal on Tuesday, but they have lost three of their past five games. Chicago allows 3.45 goals per game, which is almost identical to the 3.46 goals that Tampa Bay allows opponents. The Lightning have lost four of five after scoring at least five goals their previous game. Take the Blackhawks as a Max Play.