This pick was released to clients on September 29, 2023 at 11:34AM ET.
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New England at Kansas City

October 4, 2020
img4:25 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The one-dimensional Patriots' offense faces the fast and multi-dimensional defending champs. New England is all about running the football behind new QB Cam Newton. Newton threw another ugly interception last week giving him as many picks as TDs (2). They're going to go ball-control, but if they fall behind they really don't have the passing attack to score quickly. Kansas City is home with an unstoppable offense, but the defense has really impressed ranking #11 in yards allowed, sixth in points surrendered (20 pg). QB Patrick Mahomes (9 TDs, 0 INTS) is off to another MVP start with a trio of talents in TE Travis Kelce, WR Tyreek Hill, and WR Sammy Watkins that have defensive coordinators pulling their hair out. The Chiefs are on a 16-6 spread run, 13-5 ATS as chalk, and 17-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins. They are also 53-34 ATS against teams that average 4.5 rushing yards per carry. Play Kansas City.

1 unit on Kansas City -7 (+100) (risk 1 to return 2)
Result:
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New England Patriots
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Kansas City Chiefs
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