There will be some large point spreads for Week 9 NFL computer matchups featuring good teams playing struggling ones. High betting lines often fluctuate around key numbers for oddsmakers such as 7, 10, and 14. A team can open as a 10-point favorite but drop to 9 as the early money grabs the underdog forcing oddsmakers to adjust the line.
The NFL betting public loves favorites, so if a flood of money comes in at minus-9 on the better team, the odds may get pushed back up to minus-10. If it gets to -10.5 or -11, the sharps will then likely grab the underdog to take advantage of the key number 10. You'll witness this "numbers dance" all week.
The TV networks prefer not to have those potentially one-sided blowouts on Sunday or Monday night NFL so they often flex the schedule to move marquee matchups into prime time. Successful bettors think in similar terms: don't wager on every game on the board, but flex and pick the matchups you identify as having the best chance to cover.
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Why Use NFL Week 9 Picks
It's best to be picky with sports picks: find the best situations, matchups, and betting angles. The best way to narrow down your choices is by accumulating a lot of information, such as stats, coaching history, injuries, recent matchups, and free picks from documented professional bettors.
Getting free tips from a Vegas pro allows you to quickly see what side or total they're on, as well as the reasons why. This allows you to check any line movement on that game and add their analysis to your betting knowledge. Accumulating free NFL picks is one piece of the intricate puzzle that helps you crack the code to unearthing more winners on the card.
Betting Value in NFL Week 9 Picks
I mentioned how the lines move during the week and some of the reasons why. Professional bettors keep a close eye on this movement for proper "line shopping". This means checking multiple sportsbooks and comparing the odds.
If I isolate a game, I then look to find the best number or gauge when the best line will be available during the week depending on which direction it will move and who's moving it.
Wunderdog NFL Week 9 Picks
With over two decades of winning experience, I'm in tune with what those numbers should be. The free picks I release encompass all of my documented handicapping expertise. Key numbers factor into this, as well, which in football are 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, and 14.
In addition, I factor in other essential pieces of the puzzle such as gameday matchups, situations, rivalries, and coaching mismatches before releasing them to all my clients. The difference between winning a ticket and loser can be as small as a half-point, so it can only help to have an established professional on your side.
Free NFL Week 9 Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 9 Picks Pros:
- Streamlining your handicapping effort while learning to focus on the right winning info
- Getting professional insight on your side
- Free picks mean free information and zero money lost if you choose not to wager
Free NFL Week 9 Pick Cons:
- Not every website will provide good information or documented winners
- Too many picks will overwhelm newcomers
- Too many losers can fill you with doubts - and confidence is a key to winning
Premium NFL Week 9 Pick Pros:
- Time-saving as the betting professional does all the work
- Opens your mind to the various betting options
- Top releases should have detailed analysis and a higher winning percentage
Premium NFL Week 9 Pick Cons:
- Don't bet every game or even every pick. Stay within your bankroll limits
- Be selective as some services force selections on every game
- Giving out too many favorites is a warning sign the self-described "expert" isn't
How To Win With Free NFL Week 9 Picks
Read and think. Analyzing as much information as possible is essential to getting a leg up on the betting line. Then, organize that information to help activate your critical thinking.
- Does this team really match up better on the offensive line than their opponent?
- Is their QB reliable at crunch time?
- Does the coaching staff have a history of getting players to perform at a high level all the time, or only at home?
- Is this team impressive in the red zone or do they settle for too many field goals?
Finally, imagine what a likely final score should be then compare with the actuall oddsmaker projected number. Accumulating layers of analysis, including free NFL spread picks, helps you determine those winning projections.
Free NFL Week 9 Betting Strategy
Key Numbers
NFL oddsmaking key betting numbers are 3, 4, 6, 7, 10, and 14. If you see an underdog that is likely to lose by double-digits and the betting odds at +10, then the oddsmaker sees what you see.
But if the matchup suggests the dog is capable of hanging in there because of a strong, undervalued defense, in a 20-13 or 23-20 kind of game, then there is solid value if the dog is getting substantial points. If the underdog slips from +10 to +7.5, the wagering value is moving against you, meaning get the better number or pass on the game.
Shop Till You Drop
Shopping for the best number is an essential basic rule when trying to win money over the course of a season. It might not seem like much of an edge getting a favorite at minus-6 instead of minus-7.5, but it is.
A lot of NFL sides and totals come right down to the final minute right around the betting number. Taking the time to shop for the best number will add up financially when the curtain comes down on your wagering season.
Avoid Tilting
"Tilting" refers to the psychological aspect of betting: emotion. Losing on a last-second field goal or dropping three games in a row can negatively influence how you approach wagering. A person can get frustrated, starting to doubt their handicapping abilities, or get desperate and double up on the Sunday night game to try and recoup lost revenue.
Don't do any of those things! All of that is the fastest way to end the season (or the week) in the red. Keep a cool head and a steady, confident course when gambling.
Free NFL Week 9 Picks Subscription
I've been through two decades of some downs and mostly ups to earn a consistent profit in this business. I know what information has merit in each game and what information to cast aside. You can access that winning insight through a regular subscription service at no risk or cost.
The two best ways to begin winning are to sift through information on your own while getting the opinions of an established documented professional. Signing up for my free picks allows you to accomplish both.
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