Three preseason games and two that count are in the books as NFL teams (and bettors) advance into Week 3. Five games sound like a nice sample to get a proper evaluation but it's really not. August football means nothing to the strengths and weaknesses of teams.
And even after two regular season contests, there are still major changes that coaching staffs are implementing based on observations and weak areas that need fixing. That's important from a betting perspective as power ratings are shifting early in the season while odds are based, sometimes too much, on what has happened in Weeks 1 and 2. That's just 11.7% of the campaign.
One season, the Jaguars started 1-0 and finished 1-15 and in another, the Bills went from 2-0 to 6-10. It's important to approach Week 3 utilizing all the tools available to assess, such as strength of schedule, key injuries, depth, coaching, and situational handicapping. Take the human bias out of making NFL picks and give my NFL computer picks against the spread a try.
Why Use Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
Winning consistently in sports wagering is about accumulating information. Some of it is raw hard data/stats, which is easy to assemble, but others are more nuanced, such as what changes coaching staffs are implementing, a team's style of play, and even emotional factors like revenge or embarrassment that can find a team getting blown out one week, then playing like a Super Bowl contender the following NFL Sunday
Gathering free NFL betting picks is one piece of the puzzle, acquiring the opinions of sports betting pros. This allows you to absorb the reasoning behind individual games providing wagering angles and perspectives you may have missed.
Betting Value in Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
Go ahead and make your own sides and totals before the Week 3 lines come out, then compare to the actual numbers. You'll find disparities everywhere, many times significant variations.
That's the first step toward identifying wagering value. You have a team as a 7-point favorite but they're actually 3. What gives? Did you miss something? Or did the oddsmakers overcompensate because they expect the NFL betting public to be enamored with the other side? One season, the 2-0 Denver Broncos opened as 3.5-point underdogs at 1-1 Baltimore, but the line moved to +5 against Denver.
The sharps recognized the overcompensation with Denver playing its first road game of the season and moved quickly. They were right as Baltimore won, 27-14. Identifying and moving quickly on wagering value increases your bankroll in the short and long term.
Wunderdog Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
I'm in tune with what the odds should be, which way they're moving, and who's moving them - the general public or a handful of Vegas insiders who bet big?
The free picks I release encompass all of my documented football handicapping expertise. Key numbers factor into this, too, with the Ravens in the above example opening as 3.5 favorites under the key numbers of 4 and 7, the former of which didn't stay around with the closing line landing on 5.
I also incorporate situations and weekly matchups to calculate the proper way to wager releasing them to all my clients - one of which can be you.
Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Pros:
- Professional insight and analysis into games
- Refining your handicapping acumen
- No money lost on acquiring them, no money lost if you choose not to wager
Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Cons:
- Knowledge is necessary to beat the books, provided the selections are from a knowledgeable source
- Too many picks and information may overwhelm newcomers
- Not all websites release plays from documented winners
Premium Picks Pros:
- It provides you access to different wagering options
- The established professional does all the legwork for you
- The best picks should have a higher winning percentage and come with in-depth analysis.
Premium Picks Cons:
- You could get overwhelmed with too many picks and too little a betting bankroll
- Potentially addictive. Only you know your bankroll limits, so have a plan before jumping in
- Too many picks! Some services force selections on every event
How To Win With Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks
I examine a multitude of factors on the field and behind the scenes with lines to find wagering advantages. You should do the same to maximize winning - approach each game and line from different angles. That means accumulating as much information as you can along with daily selections from respected sources. Building up layers of analysis includes free NFL Week 3 Betting picks to help build your betting bankroll.
Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Betting Strategy
Matchups
Matchups on the field are the backbone of any game plan a coaching staff puts together. A team with a great running back, a mobile but marginal QB, and a huge offensive line will look to run the football far more than they pass it. If they're matched up against a small or weak defensive line that struggles against the run, the matchup suggests you don't need to be as concerned about them passing a lot.
A great running team with that kind of matchup edge could have very strong value as a 3-point home favorite. And if their opponent has a weak offense, the matchup suggests a low-scoring game providing additional wagering value on a game UNDER the total.
Situational Handicapping
Week 1 home games are an example of a good situational spot for the home team wanting to start the season right in from of their hometown fans. Week 3 can find situational edges, as well, such as a team traveling 3,000 miles from the West Coast to the East Coast.
Or, a team that played Week 2 Monday night at home now has to play Week 3 on the road working with only 5 days or prep time instead of the usual 6. If they played a rugged, physical game on Monday night, the lack of the extra day or rest can be a liability, as well.
Home Field
Some NFL teams have to play their first two games on the road. If they lost both road games, the stats, the oddsmakers, and the betting public will probably perceive them as a bad team. Yet, coming home 0-2 for Week 3 means it's their home opener. The team will be highly motivated to try and get their first win as well as pumped up to play in front of their home fans for the first time.
In addition, the coaching staff has had two games to evaluate personnel and Week 3 is a prime time to try some rookies or make schematic changes to try and jumpstart the offense. And if that team is in the role of home underdogs it can provide even more outstanding wagering value.
Free NFL Week 3 Betting Picks Subscription
My releases are compiled from a database that has been accumulating stats and angles for over two decades. Combining the numbers with my documented reputation means these NFL Week 3 Betting picks are analyzed for the best possible wagering options from multiple angles.
In addition, I provide expertise on another essential and often overlooked aspect of betting: money management. You need to place the right percentage of your betting bankroll on games, not helter-skelter based on what amount you think you need to cash. Signing up for my free picks aids bettors in learning all the necessary aspects of winning in the world of 11-to-10. As Vince Lombardi quipped, "Winning isn't everything, it's the ONLY thing."
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