Week 16 of the NFL has about every situational betting angle you can find. Week 16 falls around Christmas, so professional athletes have the added distraction of thinking about family time for the holidays.
Now add that to all the other variables influencing games: the cold weather, division title-clinching showdowns, plus rivalry and revenge battles. Throw in a sprinkling of just-don't-care teams that are winding down lost campaigns and you need to assess a multitude of handicapping layers before backing a favorite, an underdog, or the total when making NFL football picks.
Check out week 16 NFL consensus picks
Why Use NFL Week 16 Picks
Week 16 will test even the most experienced sports handicappers with so much to be assessed. The week begins by checking the opening lines, then accruing data and examining NFL computer matchups to get an idea of what the final scores might be.
After narrowing down the likely outcomes with the best betting lines on the board, you place your money down and wait for kickoff. Utilizing free NFL Week 16 picks helps you to focus on those choice plays, as well as opening your mind up to different wagering options you might not have considered when making your NFL against the spread picks.
Don't forget to check out last week's NFL week 15 picks
Betting Value in NFL Week 16 Picks
Correlated parlays can have better value than a straight bet on the side or total. The Broncos and Raiders had a Week 16 meeting with identical 7-7 records, both fighting for winning seasons hoping to keep playoff hopes alive. With so much on the line, you could anticipate both defenses playing well.
Visiting Denver had a weak offense, a backup QB, and had just lost their starting center. They ended up with 158 total yards going 1-of-10 on third down. The home team won and covered as a small favorite, 17-13. A correlated parlay would be to combine the home team with the game going UNDER the total to maximize the payoff.
Wunderdog NFL Week 16 Picks
With so much to examine on a hectic Week 16 card, it can only help to weigh the opinions of an experienced betting professional. I do the sports handicapping homework every day to line up the relevant information with the weakest oddsmaker lines.
I can also spot the best betting options, such as moneylines, first-half wagers, props, and correlated parlays, along with the reasons why providing complete analysis. It's not about hoping Lady Luck is on your side for a cover in the final minute. It's about identifying the best lines days before the opening kickoff with an expert bettor on your side.
Free NFL Week 16 Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 16 Picks Pros:
- They'll be able to examine and assess far more information than most
- Acquiring free Week 16 picks allows you to see which see who the pros are on without risking any money
- Augments your sports wagering knowledge brick by brick
Free NFL Week 16 Pick Cons:
- If the picks are released early in the week, lines and relevant information often change
- Being asked to wager a higher percentage than your bankroll can handle
- Make certain analysis is included. That justifies why a certain selection is made and improves your handicapping acumen
Premium NFL Week 16 Pick Pros:
- The pros find wagering value not just on sides, but in parlays, moneylines, props, and individual team totals
- Multiple angles line up on the top selections
- There are betting peaks and valleys during a season. Picks from pros should be accompanied by a sound investment strategy
Premium NFL Week 16 Pick Cons:
- With a lack of money management insight you may wager far more than you should on a premium release
- Be skeptical of too many selections released. Not every game on the board has wagering value
- You must cash consistently as you're paying for selections while backing the games
How To Win With Free NFL Week 16 Picks
Winning with sports betting on a regular basis is possible. Most of you watch and read a lot about teams. Now add to that the wagering fundamentals like situational handicapping, matchup analysis, and line movement.
Acquiring free NFL Week 16 picks is another piece of the puzzle to hone your skills. Just like practice, adding more layers is a cognitive building process that will absolutely help you to improve your game.
Free NFL Week 16 Betting Strategy
Rivalries
Rivalries add more emotion to a game, such as divisional opponents or two teams that are having a playoff rematch from the previous season. Home underdogs are often worth a look in Week 16.
Many times the home dog is winding up a losing season and won't be in the NFL playoffs, but if they have a chance to get a late-season win over a rival, or even knock the rival out of the playoffs, the home dog is likely to come on with a sensational effort.
Home favorites can also run it up on a struggling rival. One season on their way to winning the NFC East, Dallas was a 10-point Week 16 favorite at home against rival Washington. The Cowboys had their most lopsided victory of the season, 56-14.
Moneylines
Sometimes the NFL moneyline is a better bet than the point spread. In NFL Week 16 revenge or rivalry games, a home dog might be a 4-point dog but matches up well in several key areas. Taking them to win the game on the moneyline might be worth a shot.
And if a home team is a small home favorite, the moneyline could offer better value if several factors line up, such as they need a big effort for a winning season or to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Divisional Games
Schedule-makers line up division rivalries in the last few weeks of the regular season. The thinking is that it will get TV viewers anyway and if a division title is at stake it will be a double-ratings boon. Regardless, coaches put particular emphasis on the importance of division games.
A team trying to avoid a losing season may step up it at home against a divisional opponent, particularly if they lost the first meeting. One recent season, the Eagles had a tough 13-7 loss at NFC East rival the New York Giants. In the Week 16 rematch a few weeks later, the Eagles were 7-7 and exacted revenge in a 34-10 one-sided blowout as a 10-point favorite.
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You can wager and win, or simply read through the reasons to upgrade your handicapping knowledge. The Las Vegas oddsmakers don't give money away - you have to earn it. A smart bet is to have an established, documented professional in your corner. And you can start by accessing my releases via a free subscription.
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