Week 10 begins the exciting stretch run to the playoffs...or to the NFL draft lottery for others. The top teams are fired up for a strong finish to celebrate a division title while the close chasers are also highly motivated to squeeze into the few remaining playoff slots. Motivation is a key element when trying to identify winners against the spread.
The oddsmakers know the teams that are super-motivated, however, and adjust their lines accordingly and this is something you need to think about prior to making your football picks. Therefore it takes an open mind and a broad range of NFL handicapping understanding to find weekly spread winners. But they are out there - you just have to know where to look and what to dig for.
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Why Use NFL Week 10 Picks
Vegas oddsmakers aren't dummies. A lot of numbers accurately reflect what is going to take place. After some NFL Sunday, examine the side and total point spreads and you'll find many ending up right around the number. Think about how close some of the Super Bowl odds were.
The Rams opened as 3.5-point favorites over the Bengals and had to rally late for a 23-20 win. The Seahawks/Patriots Super Bowl was essentially a pick 'em with each side going back and forth at being a small favorite. Seattle had the ball first-and-goal at the five in the final minute but failed to punch it in as New England held on, 28-24.
The Patriots were 3-point favorites over the Falcons, fell behind 28-3, then rallied to win in overtime, 34-28, covering the number on the final play of the game. Getting free picks helps you narrow down the best wagering opportunities on the card. The oddsmakers aren't in business to give money away - you have to unearth the hidden edges.
Betting Value in NFL Week 10 Picks
Understanding the relationship between NFL public perception, oddsmaker intentions, and raw stats are three components of the handicapping field. Oddsmakers put up numbers and then make adjustments, which is why you see lines move during the week.
Professional bettors with years of experience understand what is taking place. Some lines move in the correct direction diminishing wagering value, but others are not.
Identifying value is where you make money over the long haul, jumping on soft lines, moving against an overreaction, or backing moneyline underdogs that have a better than average chance of winning straight up.
Wunderdog NFL Week 10 Picks
I've been watching and winning for multiple decades with power ratings that reflect what the true odds should be and where the value lies. The selections I release have in-depth reasoning which will be released to you with comprehensive analysis.
That experience allows me to identify numbers that shift in the wrong direction and take advantage. This not only helps you win but better understand the hows and whys behind undervalued lines alongside the best opportunities on the board.
Free NFL Week 10 Picks vs. Premium Picks
Free NFL Week 10 Picks Pros:
- There's no money risked or lost to gain free picks from a documented pro
- Narrowing down the best plays on the card
- The information presented can shift your understanding of the odds from a novice to a more seasoned betting pro.
Free NFL Week 10 Pick Cons:
- You might be unaware of the background of the person making the picks
- The reasons why might not be included which limits your ability to better learn and grow
- Betting too much or chasing money is the absolute incorrect betting strategy when making NFL picks
Premium NFL Week 10 Pick Pros:
- Saves you hours of time with a seasoned professional doing the research and unearthing the betting edges
- Premium selections can have access to key sports and wagering info that's not widely known
- Instead of you focusing just on sides, seasoned bettors often identify far more edges in other areas such as moneylines, props, and totals
Premium NFL Week 10 Pick Cons:
- More risk and money is on the line as you're buying picks and placing bets
- Dishonest winning percentages. Get involved only with documented services that have consistent and verified winning percentages
- A newcomer can get underwater with too many picks and too little betting bankroll
How To Win With Free NFL Week 10 Picks
Beating the odds requires effort, knowledge, and patience. It may seem impossible to win when you're just starting out or after a bad week but it can be done. The oddsmakers aren't perfect - there are wagering edges every week, soft lines, and situational spots that heavily favor one team. By signing up and analyzing free selections, you build your betting knowledge base to better identify edges against the spread.
Free NFL Week 10 Betting Strategy
Quarterback Play
QB play is a huge key during the stretch run that begins in Week 10. Coaches that have their sights on winning a division title or making the postseason want to have an above-average quarterback running the offense.
These quality signal callers can be identified by a good TD/interception ratio, team-oriented play, and competent game management skills such as cashing in red-zone opportunities and effective performances in the two-minute offense at the end of the second and fourth quarters.
If a team with a decent quarterback in the role of underdog, for instance, that's an important wagering advantage.
Matchups
Don't overlook matchups as the teams that have losing records around Week 10 have serious flaws that can be exploited by opponents. Coaches watch game films endlessly to try and identify those weak spots and build their game plans around it.
A team that likes to pass may be playing a defense that can't stop the run. For one week, they may be inclined to limit their usual passing tendencies and focus on running more.
Or a team facing a young QB may unleash the blitz all game even though they're not normally a blitzing team. Dig deep into stats, strengths, and weak areas to assess what style a team may adjust to in Week 10.
Motivation
By Week 10, motivation cuts both ways: teams that are primed to play hard and make a postseason run and those that start to pack it in. While the talent level at the NFL level is remarkably comparable between the best and worst teams, half of the biggest blowouts in NFL history have occurred in this millennium.
The Patriots shut out the Titans, 59-0, the Saints crushed the Colts, 62-7, and the Rams shut out the Raiders, 52-0. In 2019, Baltimore ran all over Miami, 59-10, while 2012 saw two of the worst defeats ever when Green Bay topped Tennessee (55-7) and Seattle shut out Arizona (58-0).
There are a variety of reasons why, such as a lost season, teams tuning out their coaches, or teams playing on the road in cold, lousy weather just wanting to get the game over with. Start making a list of teams that have a lot to play for and those that appear disinterested and unmotivated.
Free NFL Week 10 Picks Subscription
I have lists of motivated teams, coaches, and styles of play that I incorporate into my voluminous database to find the best wagering advantages. You can get on board to acquire my NFL Week 10 picks through a regular subscription service.
The best way to win money in sports betting is to put in the homework, learn the nuances of oddsmaking, and get a serious, seasoned professional in your corner.
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