The Denver Broncos offense is horrible, but they are 2-2, thanks to a defense that has kept them in games. In the last two weeks, the Broncos have allowed seven points to Tampa Bay and nine points to the NY Jets. While that sounds great and will have bettors nibbling on a piece of the Broncos, history says otherwise. A team winning 2 straight games where each of those opponents failed to score 10 points are 108-134-2 ATS covering just 44.6% of all games. Vegas has beaten the Browns and also own a huge road win in Baltimore. Vegas should have no trouble limiting Bo Nix. Nix averaged just 2,4 yards per pass attempt last week and for the season he has really struggled. Denver has been somewhat lucky that the defense has carried them, but you have to be able to play both sides of the ball in this league for continued success. History agrees in this case. Make the play on Vegas.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 66% of the public bets were on Denver Broncos on the -3 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 19.4 to 18.0 with Denver winning on the moneyline, Las Vegas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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NFL
Las Vegas at Denver
4:05 PM Eastern
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 75% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Raiders on the -3 ATS. And, 54% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 20.6 to 17.6 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline, Denver winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 58% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Raiders on the +3 ATS. And, 52% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 22.7 to 21.8 with Denver winning on the moneyline, Las Vegas winning on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
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NFL
Las Vegas at Denver
4:25 PM Eastern
Las Vegas head coach Josh McDaniels prefers the wide-open spread attack he ran in New England. With Derek Carr gone, he gets a signal caller who knows the Patriots/McDaniels playbook well in Jimmy Garoppolo. Denver is favored in this divisional rivalry game but comes off a dreadful 5-12 campaign. NFL favorites like the Broncos who had a losing record in the previous season are 139-218 ATS in conference games. They have a new playbook and head coach in Sean Payton. The offensive line struggled last year ranked 17th in yards per rush and 20th in yards rushing while allowing the most sacks (63). And NFL home favorites like the Broncos who were outscored by 4 or more points per game in the previous year are 16-43 ATS in divisional plays. Play Las Vegas as a Max Play.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Denver Broncos on the -2.5 ATS. And, 62% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 20.5 to 20.3 with Denver winning on the moneyline, Las Vegas winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Las Vegas at Denver
4:05 PM Eastern
Las Vegas has been in just about every game. The offense is 14th in the league in total yards with fine balance behind QB Derek Carr (13 TDs, 5 INTs) and RB Josh Jacobs (821 yards, 5.2 ypc). The Raiders are Top 10 in the NFL in rushing yards per carry (4.8). Las Vegas lost two close ones at first-place teams Tennessee (24-22) and at Kansas City (30-29). NFL road teams that have beaten the spread by 21+ points in three straight games are 33-9 ATS in Weeks 10-13. Meanwhile, Denver is on a 1-5 SU, 2-4 slide, including a 12-9 home loss to the Colts the last time they were favored. The offense has been stuck in neutral all season behind QBs Russell Wilson and Brett Rypien, who have combined for 7 TDs and 6 INTs. Denver is 31st in the NFL on third down (28.46%), 28th in yards per carry (3.9), and last in points scored (14.6 pg). And NFL favorites that average 17 points or fewer are 8-27 ATS. Play Las Vegas.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 67% of the public bets were on Las Vegas Raiders on the -2.5 ATS. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Las Vegas would win by a score of 22.4 to 20.9 with Las Vegas winning on the moneyline, Denver winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Denver at Las Vegas
4:25 PM Eastern
The Vegas Raiders have the only 0-3 record through 3 weeks. The Vegas offense is struggling to get Davante Adams involved. The injuries are mounting for this team and the offense, which was supposed to be strong has yet to top 23 points, while the defense has allowed 24 or more points in all 3 games. Denver was expecting the offense to take a leap with Russell Wilson at QB, but the points have just not been there. Vegas has some issues as CBs Hobbs and YaSin are in danger of missing this game, which could open the door for Courtland Sutton to have a big week. The Denver defense has been a huge factor in all 3 games allowing just 12ppg. The Denver defense is allowing just 50 snaps per contest, and no team has thrown for 200 or more yards or rushed for 100 yards against them. I like Denver in this one.
Final Score
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