Denver has a terrific head coach in Sean Payton. That's a big advantage in preseason with so many players to examine and teach. He has a good August QB rotation, building around Bo Nix teamed with veterans Jarrett Stidham and Zach Wilson. In Payton's last preseason game, Denver shut out Los Angeles, 41-0, as Stidham threw for 236 yards. Indianapolis didn't change much this offseason. Last year's offense was 25th in total yards and 29th in points. QB Anthony Richardson is back after playing in just four games as a rookie before shoulder surgery, with the backups 39-year-old Joe Flacco (13 TDs, 8 INTs in 2023) and Sam Ehlinger (career 3 TDs, 3 picks). The defensive secondary is below-average and inconsistent while allowing too many big plays. Play Denver.
Previous Matchups & Picks
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 69% of the public bets were on Denver Broncos on the -4.5 ATS. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 25.4 to 18.2 with Denver winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
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Lines & Odds
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Indianapolis would win by a score of 19.5 to 18.5 with Indianapolis winning on the moneyline, Denver winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
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NFL
Denver at Indianapolis
1:00 PM Eastern
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 56% of the public bets were on Denver Broncos on the -3 ATS. And, 61% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 21.3 to 19.5 with Denver winning on the moneyline, Indianapolis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 76% of the public bets were on Indianapolis Colts on the -6 ATS. 82% of the public money was on Indianapolis Colts to win on the moneyline. And, 51% of the bets were on the game to go UNDER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Indianapolis would win by a score of 24.1 to 17.6 with Indianapolis winning on the moneyline and on the spread and the game going OVER the total.
Final Score
Lines & Odds
Public Consensus
Who was the public on? 60% of the public bets were on Denver Broncos on the -3 ATS. 54% of the public money was on Denver Broncos to win on the moneyline. And, 59% of the bets were on the game to go OVER the total.
Computer Predictions
My computer prediction for this game was that Denver would win by a score of 20.5 to 19.3 with Denver winning on the moneyline, Indianapolis winning on the spread and the game going UNDER the total.
Premium Picks
NFL
Denver at Indianapolis
8:25 PM Eastern
The Denver Broncos have not had many losing seasons but this will mark the first time they have had one since 2010. The defense rose up for a 23-0 shutout win against the NY Jets last week to break an eight-game losing streak. While the Broncos have had issues on both sides of the ball, the defense has not put together consecutive games allowing fewer than 20 points all season, after allowing fewer than 20 in eight games last season. Indianapolis played in ridiculous conditions in Buffalo last week and the extremely low-scoring game was due to weather, not great defense and poor offense. I feel like the market has the total set too low here as a result. Denver is 240-187 to the OVER in their last 427 games and 20-6-1 OVER in their last 27 games played on artificial turf. Neither team has anything to play for in this one except for pride, and I look for a wide open game with some extended drives due to fourth down risk. Take this one to finish OVER.
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