Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh fired its offensive coordinator, Matt Canada, and he will be replaced by running backs coach Eddie Faulkner and quarterbacks coach Mike Sullivan. Mike Tomlin had to do something as the Steelers are No. 28 in points and total yards and come off a demoralizing loss to Cleveland, which was using a rookie quarterback. The game went UNDER by 11 points even with a low posted total of 34 and Kenny Pickett threw for only 106 yards. Pittsburgh hopes the new coordinators make a difference, but they are still dealing with the same lack of offensive talent. The Steelers are 8-2 UNDER their past 10 games, 5-0 UNDER versus AFC opponents and 9-1-1 UNDER after totaling fewer than 150 passing yards their previous game. Cincinnati has its own problems as Joe Burrow is out for the year and Jake Browning will replace him. Browning did make some good throws in limited action against Baltimore in Week 11. The Bengals are 17-6-1 UNDER its past 24 games versus the AFC and 25-10-2 ATS overall their past 37 games. Cincinnati is 11-4-2 ATS at home and 16-5-1 ATS against teams with winning records. Take the Bengals and the UNDER as a Max Play.

Two division rivals heading in opposite directions. Since losing the first two, defending AFC champion Cincinnati has won five of seven to pull within one game of Baltimore. They come off a bye week after playing five of eight on the road. The Bengals have a deadly passing attack behind QB Joe Burrow (18 TDs, 6 INTs) and WRs Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd ranked sixth in passing yards and scoring (25.3 ppg). The Bengals are on a 12-4 ATS run on the road, as well as 19-9 ATS against pass defenses that allow 235+ yards passing per contest. While the Bengals' offense is third in the NFL on third down (49.56%), the Steelers rank 26th. Last-place Pittsburgh has lost six of eight with quarterbacks Mitch Trubisky and rookie Kenny Pickett combining for 5 TDs and 10 picks. The offense is the second-worst in scoring (15.6 ppg), the fifth-worst in yards, and 23rd in yards per rush (4.2). And the Steelers are 2-9 ATS after a spread cover. Play Cincinnati.

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals have a big division game this week. The Bengals are 6-4, and the Steelers come in at 5-4-1. This is a division that separates top to bottom by just 1.5 games, and I would expect both teams to be ready to deliver their best. The Steelers have brought the defense on the road where they are 27-5-2 ATS to the UNDER in their last 34 road games when the total is fewer than 47 points. The Bengals rediscovered their defense last week, holding a good Vegas offense to 13 points on the road. Since 1992, the Bengals are 75-49 to the UNDER vs. a team that passes for 235+ yards per game. Make the play on the UNDER.