Buffalo Bills vs Denver Broncos

Denver had an impressive start to Nathaniel Hackett's coaching career defeating Dallas 17-7 with Josh Johnson completing 16 of 23 for 172 yards and two touchdowns for the Broncos, who led 17-0 at halftime and didn't score again, the game went UNDER by 9.5 points. Brett Rypien went 8-for-18 for 113 yards, but the Broncos managed only 39 rushing yards on 22 carries. Buffalo won its ninth preseason game in a row 27-24 over the Colts while scoring on three straight possessions in the final 8:10. Matt Barkley was 18 of 24 passing for 224 yards for Buffalo. The Bills are laying more points than usual for a preseason game due to their recent record and Denver wants to instill a winning attitude under Hackett. The Broncos got good performances from all their receivers last week even with Russell Wilson not playing and the defense kept the Cowboys out of the end zone until 4:56 left in the game. The Broncos have gone UNDER eight of their past nine preseason games and allowed an average of just seven points in 2021. Buffalo is 1-4 ATS its past five preseason games versus AFC West teams. Play the Broncos and the UNDER.

Denver blew a 20-0 halftime lead and lost 27-23 to the Vikings, but the Broncos still covered the number to go 6-4 ATS on the season, including 5-1 ATS their last six games. Brandon Allen finished 17-of-39 for 240 yards with a touchdown and interception in his second game as a starter and he has exceeded expectations although there weren't many to begin with. Nevertheless, Allen has kept his team competitive and he won his first start in beating the Browns 24-19. Buffalo comes off a 37-20 win over lowly Miami, but the Bills are still only #19 in total offense yards while averaging 21.1 points and they'll face the #4 ranked defense in yards allowed against the Broncos, who give up 19.7 points per game. Josh Allen threw for 256 yards and three touchdowns against the Dolphins, but a week earlier he was only 22-of-41 versus the Browns and showed some panic and poor time management in the final minute of the game. The Bills are 2-5 ATS their last seven games after scoring at least 30 points their previous game. Take the Broncos.