This pick was released to clients on April 17, 2015 at 9:57AM ET.
img NBA

Washington at Toronto

April 18, 2015
img12:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Washington Wizards opened the season at 31-15 and truly looked to be a top level team through 46 games, but they have lost the magic since, and have not been able to reclaim it. This is a team that has endured losing streaks of three, four, five, and six games since the big start, and are just 1-3 as they open the playoffs in Toronto. Since January 28th, the Wizards have gone from a team that averaged 100 points per game to one that has averaged just 96.8 ppg. They are scoring a lot less, and have struggled. Toronto had a big dropoff as well, but they had no team within 10 games of them in the Atlantic, and I think that is a good part of the reason. Toronto did flip the switch down the stretch, closing with four wins in their last five games, and I think they are ready to take on Washington. The Wizards' road scoring has been even worse as they have generated just 91.4 ppg since January 28, and scoring gets even tougher in the playoffs. The Wizards are a woeful 3-23-2 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing 100+ in their previous game, and 8-22-2 ATS in their last 32 when following a loss. The Raptors are rested and ready, and are on a 5-0 UNDER streak when playing on two or more days of rest, and Wizards' lack of offense on the road has led to a 11-5-1 mark to the UNDER in their last 17 on the road. This series has seen six of the last seven played in Toronto fall shy of the total. Over the past three seasons, Toronto is 20-8 UNDER in the first-half at home as a small favorite and 35-18 UNDER in the first-half after the All Star break. Take Toronto, the full-game and the first-half UNDERs.

1.5 units on Toronto -3.5 (-110) (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 98.5 -108 (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 194.5 -108 (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
Washington Wizards img
19
27
19
17
11
93
Toronto Raptors
23
19
14
26
4
86
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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