Washington at Atlanta

Washington was #2 in the NBA in field goal shooting defense this season and has used that to ride a red-hot run. This balanced offense is deadly too, and they can play the physical game in the low post with anybody. Washington is 5-0 ATS on the road and on a 10-1-2 ATS run overall. The Wizards are also 7-0-1 ATS against a team with a winning record. The oddsmakers have been making their totals too low, and are on a 4-0 run OVER the total as a result, including 4-1 OVER on the road. Atlanta got outrebounded in game one, giving up 54 boards and 104 points. The OVER is 9-3 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, plus Atlanta is 5-0 OVER the total against a team with a winning record. Atlanta is on a 2-7-1 ATS run and 2-12-1 ATS in Conference Semifinals games. They will look to push the tempo and the OVER is 7-0 when they clash, including 5-0 OVER here in Atlanta. But the road team is 5-2-1 ATS and the underdog is 8-3-3 ATS, so grab the undervalued dog again in an up-tempo clash. Take Washington and the game total OVER.