This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 7:08PM ET.
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Utah at San Antonio

May 30, 2007
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Utah is really up against it now, having lost for the first time at home in the playoffs in game 4. They now face elimination in San Antonio, a place where they have not won this century. San Antonio is currently 18-0 against Utah at home and 14-4 ATS. The Spurs have killed the Jazz when Utah has been a more competitive team. When Utah has been a single digit underdog, they have been 0-13 SU and ATS! To make matters more difficult, San Antonio is 46-28 ATS in the Duncan era off a playoff win and better yet, 12-6 ATS off a road win. They are also 5-1 ATS with a line in this range (6.5+) in closeout games at home, winning those 5 by an average margin of 15.4 ppg including 2-0 this year. The Spurs have allowed an average of 81.8 ppg in these games. San Antonio smells blood and will not be a no-show tonight. We see them burrying the Jazz and moving on to the NBA Finals.

2 units on San Antonio -7.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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