img NBA

Utah at San Antonio

May 2, 2012
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The San Antonio Spurs rolled to their 11 straight win in game one defeating the Utah Jazz 106-91 to take a 1-0 series lead. I'm still not convinced that San Antonio has emerged as the team to beat in the NBA playoffs. When examining their 11 game winning streak, it shows mostly wins vs. weak teams.  While the good teams San Antonio beat were playing below their season level at the time they played, Utah being the exception. The 15 point Utah loss in game one was widely attributed to a bad game by Devon Harris who shot just 3-9 and turned the ball over five times, leading to a 16-10 turnover deficit, which wasn't game decisive, but certainly cover decisive as the Jazz came within 3.5 points of covering the game two line, which is barely more than 1 possession. The Jazz guards contributed just 3-13 from the field and all is it takes is one hoop and a free throw and the ATS outcome is different this time around. The Spurs are just 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven as a playoff favorite and Utah has collected the cash in six of their last eight on a pair of days rest. I look for them to slow things down a bit here, get some better looks and continue crashing the boards where they held the game one advantage. The Jazz have played to the UNDER in five of their last seven as an 11 point or more chalk, as a road dog. Remember these teams were playing to totals in their first two matchups of 192.5 and 195.5 so there is room in this total, especially in a playoff game with more defensive commitment. The five games this season have only averaged 198ppg combined. Play on Utah and the UNDER.

2 units on Utah +11.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 2)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Utah Jazz
17
11
25
30
83
San Antonio Spurs img
28
25
34
27
114
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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