This pick was released to clients on February 06, 2015 at 7:36AM ET.
img NBA

Utah at Phoenix

February 6, 2015
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

At 17-32, the Utah Jazz's record has them appearing to be a lot worse than they actually are. They had a horrid 18-game stretch that left them at 3-15. If you take out the horrible 18-game stretch this team endured, they are 14-17, and are a lot more ordinary looking. The Jazz have also been playing over the line as they have covered four of their last five in the role of an underdog. Phoenix is a fringe playoff team, but have hit the wall in their last three games all resulting in losses. They are just 2-5 in their last seven, and have not won by more than eight points in any of heir last nine games. They find themselves in a situation that is 167-282 ATS for tonight's game, and that situation is just 2-8 ATS this year. Go with the points on Utah. Also take the UNDER. This total is set very high. Phoenix's defense at home isn't horrible and Utah's road games this year have averaged just 193.5 points per game - a full 10 points lower than this total. The last three seasons the Jazz are 29-12 UNDER after back-to-back OVERs. And, this season, they are a perfect 7-0 UNDER tot a total set above 200. Go with the Jazz and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Utah +5.5 (-108) (risk 1.5 to return 2.89)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 203.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Utah Jazz
24
18
29
22
93
Phoenix Suns img
25
29
22
24
100
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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