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Utah at Los Angeles

November 4, 2007
img9:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Utah is off an extremely high-scoring game in which they poured in 133 points. But don't read too much into that. It was versus Golden State. And it represents the most points scored by the Jazz in 15 years. The reality is that the Jazz are not that kind of team. The real story lies in the history between these two teams that know each other well: the first-half UNDER has come through in 34 of the last 49 games includign 18 of 23 in games played here in LA. In November games with a first-half total over at 100+ featuring a team that surpassed their last-game total by 18+ points, the UNDER has hit at a 68% clip the past decade. Utah is 13-4 to the first-half UNDEr dating back to last season when favored by 3 or less on the road. They are also 9-1 UNDER in the first half on the road when playing back-to-back games. The Lakers the past couple of seasons are 31-13 UNDER in the first half after playing in a high-scoring game (215+ total points).

3 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN
1
2
3
4
T
Utah Jazz
21
30
31
27
109
Los Angeles Lakers
25
21
35
38
119
odds odds
 
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