This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:06PM ET.
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Utah at Los Angeles

April 12, 2005
img10:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

A fairly low total here looks like a good OVER opportunity. The Jazz have been playing some pretty good defense the last two games but how long can that continue? They are 5-1 OVER after allowing 90 points or less 2 straight games this season and prior to the last two games, they allowed 109 vs. Denver, 108 vs. Golden State and 111 vs. Minnesota. Utah is 12-3 OVER against Pacific division opponents this season. Meanwhile, the Clips are allowing 101.2 per game over their last five while scoring 101. While these teams have typically played low scoring games, my sense is that late in the season, with nothing to play for, they are going to play a bit of lazy defense and try to light things up offensively. Two stars on the OVER here.

2 units on Game Total OVER 189.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
LOSS
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