Utah at Houston

Houston started off terrible this season and most wrote them off. But they are now in a position to make the playoffs thanks to winning 10 of their last 13 games. They have put the loss of Yao behind them and they have hope. This is an important game as Utah is a team at whom they are looking up for the last playoff spot in the West. In late season play over the past three seasons, the Jazz are just 12-25 ATS on the road vs. winning teams. Houston is 25-12 ATS this season vs. weak defensive teams like Utah (those allowing 99+ per game). I like Houston. I also like the UNDER here. Utah can score, but on the road they are averaging a mediocre 98.5 per game. Houston's defense has held their last three opponents to an average of just 82.7 per game. Under Rick Adelman, the Rockets are 80-58 UNDER as a home favorite. He's also 83-59 UNDER when facing good shooting teams (46%+ FG). Take the Rockets and the UNDER here.