Utah at Houston

Houston may not be the better team. They have been just 1-7 ATS vs. teams with a winning percentage of .600+, and 0-7 as a 5-10.5 point favorite. Utah has played very well in these types of games posting a 16-10 ATS mark against teams with a winning record. Utah has done a great job of limiting opponents to second-chance points holding them to 10 offensive rebounds a game. When the defense cranks up in the playoffs, this becomes vitally important. They have a +3 on the offensive glass and a +6 on the defensive glass and that usually points to a team staying around late on the road in the playoffs, so we will back the live dog here.