Utah at Golden State

At some point you have to throw out a .500 regular season and look at what this team is doing. In round one, they knocked off the #1 seed and team with the best regular-season record in five games. They are 4-0 in the playoffs at home winning by an average of 17 ppg! Breaking their games into four quarters, they haven't lost a quarter at home since March! They have lost just one home game in the last 77 days (14-1). Their last seven home wins have come by an average of 19 ppg so they are even stepping it up if that's possible. Utah is just 8-20 ATS the past three seasons as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points and they are 1-8 ATS this season off a double-digit road loss. In this series, we have two very different teams. Utah pounds it inside and scores there at will. Golden State basically gives that to them. The Warriors kill you from beyond the arc (hitting 41% in this series). Utah can't defend that. Each of the first three games in this series has seen the home team score 116 or more as it is now apparent neither team is going to be able to stop the other. The total rose 4 points each after games one and two but has gone up just two points here after a game in which 230 points were scored. With the average score in the first games at 234, it looks like the linesmakers have not adjusted enough. Take Golden State and the OVER here.