This pick was released to clients on March 21, 2015 at 10:13AM ET.
img NBA

Utah at Golden State

March 21, 2015
img10:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

At 55-13 on the season, the Golden State Warriors have built a little cushion over the Atlanta Hawks for the best record in the NBA as they have stretched it out to 2.5 games. This is a huge danger spot for Golden State as the Utah Jazz and their overall record of just 31-37 come in after two games vs. winning teams. Moreover, the Warriors are in a huge "breather alert" here for this one. Not only did they just beat Atlanta, and most recently a winning New Orleans team. And after the losing Jazz tonight, Golden State faces nine straight teams with winning records. If ever the Warriors were going to take a night off, this is the spot. Utah is playing as good as any team in the league right now. Despite a 31-37 overall record, the Jazz are 14-4 in their last 18. Utah has been 6-0-2 ATS in their last eight as a dog, and more importantly 6-2 straight-up in their last eight as a dog. The Jazz have been dominating with defense more than any NBA team in years, as over their last 12 games only one team scored more than 88 against them (91), and opponents are averaging just 81.8 points per game against them! That has led the Jazz to a 16-3 mark to the UNDER in their last 19 games. Take the UNDER and Utah on the moneyline for the huge straight-up upset.

1 unit on Utah +390 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 4.9)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 193 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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F
Utah Jazz
91
Golden State Warriors img
106
consensus consensus
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