This pick was released to clients on April 25, 2024 at 12:20PM ET.
img NBA

Utah at Dallas

April 25, 2022
img9:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Utah eked out a win in Game 4, 100-99, even while shooting only 40.5%, and Dallas had Luka Doncic back after missing the first three games of the series. Rudy Gobert missed nine of 18 free throws, but he made up for it with an alley-oop dunk with 11 seconds left for the winning points. The Jazz already have a road win in the series as they came out victorious in Game 1. Saturday's game stayed UNDER by 16 points, and only 96 points were scored in the First-Half. Only 88 points were scored before halftime in Utah's Game 1 win. The Mavericks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven playoff games as favorites, and the Jazz are 16-5-1 UNDER following a win. Plus, they have gone UNDER in 11 of 14 road games. Dallas is a small favorite here, and the value is on the dog to win outright. Go with the Jazz on the moneyline, and take the First-Half to stay UNDER.

1 unit on Utah +137 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 2.37)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on 1st ½ Total UNDER 103 -105 (risk 1.5 to return 2.93)
Result:
WIN
FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Utah Jazz
18
18
19
22
77
Dallas Mavericks img
24
28
29
21
102
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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