This pick was released to clients on September 17, 2012 at 10:55PM ET.
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Utah at Atlanta

December 20, 2006
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We don't have an opinion on the side here, but we like the total in this one quite a bit. We have a team in Utah, that has reached the century mark in 19 of their 1st 25 games. We have a team in Atlanta that averages 194 points in all games, so both numbers lead us to value in the OVER here. The history of this situation is also pointing the way toward the over. Atlanta will be a home dog in this game, currently at +5.5 The last 25 times they have been a home underdog they have played OVER in 17 of them, or 68% of the time. That means the tempo will likely be dictated by a team that scores 100+ 76% of the time. Utah has also played OVEr in 35 of their last 51 road games or 69% of the time, and they have been even more OVER oriented in games vs the Eastern Conference, as 20 of their last 28 vs the East have gone OVER, or 71.4%.

2 units on Game Total OVER 192.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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