Toronto at Washington

Washington opened the season 17-3 at home, and has since been 9-6, but the expectations have remained the same. They have become over-priced at home, and consequently, are just 5-13 ATS in their last 18 at home. Toronto has been under the radar all season, and is playing as good as any team in the NBA right now. They have a 32-18 record over their last 50 games. To put this in context, Houston has a winning percentage of .639, and came to Washington when Washington was beating everyone at home, and was posted as a road favorite of -1. Here is a Toronto team playing .640 basketball, over the last 50 games and getting 4.5 points, and Washington has not been nearly the same at home, as their 17-3 start. The value here is on Toronto.