Toronto at San Antonio

Toronto has a winning road record and is 12-5 ATS after a straight-up loss. You need tough defense to contend away from home and Toronto is eighth in the NBA in points allowed. NBA road teams with winning records that have lost five or six of seven games are 36-17 ATS when facing losing teams. San Antonio has a losing home mark and is #26 defensively in points surrendered, #24 in field goal shooting allowed and #21 in three-point defense, while the offense is #26 from the charity stripe. The Spurs are 13-27 ATS against teams that force 15 or more turnovers per contest, plus 5-20 ATS at home off a home victory. Play Toronto.