This pick was released to clients on September 24, 2012 at 1:04PM ET.
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Toronto at New York

April 12, 2005
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Knicks showed some pride in beating Indiana on the road Sunday by a point, 113-112. They'll try to carry that good feeling over into this one vs. a Raptors team they've handled at home, covering the last eight. Toronto brings a 9-30 road record into this one. NEW YORK is 7-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons. New York is playing with revenge in mind here as they got pasted 98-81 on January 19 by the Raptors. Play New York for one star.

Since the all-star break, New York is 11-3 OVER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game and 12-2 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record. Toronto is 13-2 OVER (+10.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season. Both of these teams have seemingly given up on playing defense as over the past five games, New York is allowing 104.4 per game and Toronto 105.4 per game. Within the division, Toronto scores over 102 per contest and should be good for close to 100 tonight while I expect New York to top 110. Go with the OVER for two stars.

1 unit on New York -5.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS
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