Toronto at Milwaukee

These are a pair of teams that are both top six in the league defensively in field goal shooting allowed. Rebuilding Toronto may have a winning record but they've had an easy schedule. The only quality opponent was Boston and they lost 112-106 getting outrebounded by 10 boards. NBA road teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ points per game are 41-15 UNDER the total where the total is 220+ against an opponent off a win by 15+ points. Milwaukee is home, off a rout of Orlando, 123-91, allowing 37.4% shooting. The talented Bucks had the NBA's best record last season (60-22) and won the regular-season series 3-1 against Toronto. They also took the first two games of the Eastern Conference finals versus the Raptors on this court, 108-100 and 125-103. An NBA team like Milwaukee off a blowout win by 30+ points is 42-17 UNDER the total after scoring 100+ points in four straight contests. The wagering value is on the home team to win a defensive duel. Play Milwaukee on the moneyline and also take the UNDER for a Max Play.