The Milwaukee Bucks needed to come away with a split in the first two games in Toronto, and accomplished that goal. Toronto knows they have to come into Game 3 with the home crowd now behind the Bucks, and match the intensity early in the game. They need to not let the crowd dictate and provide energy for the home team. Toronto has a long history of playoff problems, and a lot of that rests on their guards DeMar DeRozen, and Kyle Lowry. They both have shot less than 40% from the field in their career playoff games, and well below their averages from deep. As a result, the defense is going to have to carry the mail for them in this one. Milwaukee has defended very well in this series, and should get a boost by finally playing in front of the home crowd. These teams have a long history of low-scoring games in Milwaukee, as 9 of the last 12 here have played UNDER the total, and coming up short by an average of 7.25 points per game. These teams have started slow, averaging fewer than 45 total first quarter points, and it fits what I expect to see here tonight with Toronto needing to keep the crowd out early and will be defending hard. Play on the first half and the full game UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on April 20, 2024 at 11:10AM ET.
NBA
Toronto at Milwaukee
April 20, 2017
8:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on 1st ½ Total UNDER 99.5 -105 (risk 1 to return 1.95)
Result:
WIN
WIN
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 196 -102 (risk 1 to return 1.98)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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