Toronto at Indiana

Indiana is 5-6 and has probably played a bit above where their season expectations are. A big concern is the Pacers are allowing 118.4ppg in the early going, and 41.1% shooting against them from deep. Winning is not sustainable without defense and a hungry Toronto team at 7-6 that has played below their expected level is more than capable of a road win here so the plus-odds are favorable. The raptors are allowing 10 points fewer per game than the Pacers, and when it comes down to getting critical stops late in the game, I don't trust Indiana. Make the play on Toronto on the money line.