Toronto at Charlotte

The Bobcats played one of the worst games in NBA history their last time out at home. They lost to Boston by 31 points, and in the process scored just 62 points. They shot 11% from beyond the arc and just 56% from the free throw line. The good news for the Bobcats is what historically has followed a stinker such as they had last game. Teams in the NBA that score 65 points or less in a game are 62-42 ATS in their next game. If that game is at home it goes to 40-18 ATS. And, if they are posted as a favorite in the game it goes to 24-7 ATS. This is a great matchup for the Bobcats. Charlotte is 29-16 ATS the past three seasons vs. terrible defensive teams (those allowing 103+ per game). They are also 56-39 ATS over that span vs. teams that score 99+ per game. Toronto is 12-24 ATS since last season after a game in which they allowed 110+ points. Over the past three seasons, Charlotte is 11-2 ATS after a game in which 165+ points were scored. I like the Bobcats here. Computer matchup for this game