This pick was released to clients on September 21, 2012 at 2:41PM ET.
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Toronto at Atlanta

March 26, 2005
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Raptors find themselves 4 point favorites on the road here where they are 7-27 on the year this season. Atlanta has lost 9 of their last 10 but have taken the cash 3 of the last 4 meetings vs the Raptors. Bad call here by the sportsbooks making Toronto road fav's. Atlanta beat Toronto in Toronto earlier this month. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a favorite, coming off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog are an ugly 7-26 (11%) ATS since 1996. Also, road teams after allowing 55 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a blowout loss by 15 points or more are only 21-46 (31%) ATS over the same time span. Toronto is 0-7 ATS this season in road games versus poor defensive teams (shooting pct defense of >46%. We'll take the points and Atlanta for three stars.

3 units on Atlanta +4 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
LOSS
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