This pick was released to clients on September 13, 2012 at 5:46PM ET.
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Seattle at Miami

November 7, 2006
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Miami Heat are the defending world champions but they aren't playing like it. They've dropped two of their first three games and they've given up 107+ points twice already. Shaq is gettting old and is already banged up. He didn't play last game and is listed as day-to-day. They now face a Seattle team that can hit the deep ball and that's not a good matchup for them. Seattle is scoring 112 per game and hitting 41.4% from beyond the arc, tossing it up 23 times per game from deep. The Heat like to pack it in down low. Against teams that attempt 18+ 3-pointers per game, Miami is just 5-18 ATS the past two seasons. Miami is now just 4-14 ATS in November games the past three years. Take the points and the Sonics as right now Miami needs to prove they should be a this big a favorite.

2 units on Seattle +6.5 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN
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