San Antonio at Sacramento

Every year a talented young team steps up and overachieves, and the Sacramento Kings are that team early this season. Sacramento is second in the NBA in rebounds and #9 in points with a hard working frontcourt. They are riding a three-game skid but they've been in all the games, including the last one, a one-point loss at Memphis as a +5.5 dog. The Kings led by as many as 26 before getting outscored 35-19 in the fourth quarter. The Kings held a 44-30 rebounding edge. At least they are home and the Kings are 11-3-1 ATS following a loss. The defending champs are in a town, so the crowd will be fired up, but the Spurs haven't been great at 5-3. San Antonio still has depth concerns as Marco Belinelli could be out again after missing five games with a strained groin and Tiago Splitter remains sidelined with a calf issue. The Kings are first in the NBA with a 30.3% mark on the offensive glass. Sacramento also leads the league with 29.4 made foul shots per game. This is a great spot for the home dog, so the value is with the Kings to win the game. Play Sacramento on the moneyline.