San Antonio at Phoenix

The Suns are really in a free-fall right now while San Antonio is being San Antonio again, having won 15 of 17. For the Spurs, it's all about defense as only three teams in their last 27 games have managed to reach the 100-point mark against them. With the Suns strategy focused on offense, that spells trouble for them here. The Spurs have only reached 100 points five times themselves in the past 25 games. The Suns are just 3-10 ATS when they don't reach 100 points. The problem they have is playing against the NBA's four best defensive teams. They got 85 vs Boston, 86 vs Detroit, 81 vs San Antonio last time they came here and 94 against Houston. Phoenix simply cannot impose their will against these teams as they have collectively held the Suns to to 20+ points per game below their average, and San Antonio is playing some serious "D" right now. We expect them to get the road win, and keep the game at a half-court pace, so we like the UNDER as well.