This pick was released to clients on May 31, 2014 at 9:59AM ET.
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San Antonio at Oklahoma City

May 31, 2014
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

This has been a strange series for sure, as their has yet to be a competitive game. Through five games, the sum of the victory margin has been 102 points, and seems to be challenging the all-time sum of victory margin in a seven game NBA playoff series of 134. It certainly has been a tale of two venues with each team dominating on their home court. And with Oklahoma City facing elimination, they have more reason to be the focused team here, which has proven decisive in this series. The Spurs have been 9-1 at home in the playoffs, and have won their last eight in a row, but things have been quite different on the road. San Antonio, in their last eight home games, all wins, has averaged an amazing 111.3 points per game. The offense has been stopped on the road where they have scored 97 points or less four times in the seven road games where they are 2-5 and have not topped 97 in their last three. This series has already seen four of the five games played to the UNDER, including both games here. And the San Antonio offense has been averaging 117 points per game in this series at home, and just 94.5 points per game on the road, a huge seperation of 22.5 points per game. The Spurs are just a woeful 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games against an elite home team that has a home winning percentage of greter than .600. The Thunder, on the other hand, is 16-5 ATS vs. an elite road team, one that carries a greater than .600 winning percentage on the road. The Spurs are now 5-0 to the UNDER on a day of rest, and Oklahoma City 6-0 to the UNDER on a day of rest. Make the play on Oklahoma City and the UNDER.

1.5 units on Oklahoma City -3.5 (-101) (risk 1.5 to return 2.99)
Result:
LOSS
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 207 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
1
2
3
4
O
F
San Antonio Spurs img
20
22
37
22
11
112
Oklahoma City Thunder
23
26
20
32
6
107
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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