The San Antonio Spurs certainly had a pair of things going for them to open the series at 2-0. They were playing at home, where they have a strong history, and they had a green light in the lane with the absence of the Thunder's rim protector Serge Ibaka. That absence led to the Spurs walking into the lane virtually uncontested, and they put up 120 points in the paint, and it was just too easy. The venue has shifted to Oklahoma City, and that change, with the added presence of Ibaka back on the floor was a game changer. The Spurs shot just 39.6%, and it was no accident. The lane was not open for business, and the Spurs had 10 shots blocked, and the Thunder, who were destroyed in the paint in the first two games, took the edge in game three. The Thunder have now gotten into the Spurs head about trouble in the lane, and points once again will not come easy, and the Spurs are likely going to step up the "D" to try to create some offense off their defense. Once again I think this one does not make the total. Spurs are 8-3 to the UNDER in their last 11 vs. a winning team, and Oklahoma City is now 10-1 to the UNDER in their last 11 at home vs. a team with a road winning percentage greater than .600. This one stays UNDER tonight in OKC.
This pick was released to clients on May 27, 2014 at 10:30AM ET.
NBA
San Antonio at Oklahoma City
May 27, 2014
9:00 PM Eastern
1.5 units on Game Total UNDER 208 -110 (risk 1.5 to return 2.86)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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