San Antonio at Oklahoma City

Bouce back time! San Antonio is flying high after ripping Oklahoma City the first two games. But two years ago these teams met in the Western Conference Finals with largely the same cast of characters. San Antonio went up 2-0, shooting 55% in Game Two and winning by double digits (sound familiar?)....then OKC won four in a row. This Spurs team is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. Oklahoma City has a deadly offense, but was also tops in the West in field goal shooting defense this regular season. The home team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings between these rivals, and the Thunder is 14-3 ATS at home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600. The Spurs are 3-10-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings, including 0-7 ATS in Oklahoma City, so the home court is the way to go. In addition, it will be more of a defensive game than oddsmakers and the public expect. San Antonio also plays strong defense, and the UNDER is 10-4 in the Spurs last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points. San Antonio is 7-3 UNDER against a team with a winning record. And when these teams meet, the UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, including 4-0 UNDER here in Oklahoma City. Play Oklahoma City and the Spurs/Thunder UNDER the Total in Game Three.