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San Antonio at New Orleans

May 19, 2008
img8:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The New Orleans Hornets have lived a life similar to Boston in the playoffs. They have been a perfect 6-0 SU at home and 5-1 ATS. But on the road they are just 1-4 SU and ATS. It has been the theme right throughout the second round of the 2008 playoffs, as San Antonio is also just 1-4 SU and ATS on the road. For the Hornets it goes a lot deeper, as they are now 18-1 SU at home over their last 19, and what is even more amazing about that, is they would also be 18-1 ATS to a line of -4 in those 19 games. And 15 of those games were against playoff teams! The Hornets are young and inexperienced which you could say will hurt them against the Vet Spurs in a pressure game seven. Or, since they don't know any better, they may just not care and instead go out and do what they have been doing at home all season - win. How can we ignore the fact that this season, San Antonio is an atrocious 9-18 ATS on the road vs. winning teams and 3-14 ATS as a road dog of 6 or less? We can't and we won't. Nor will we forget that the Hornets are a perfect 11-0 ATS this season at home revenging a loss. We like the Hornets. We also like the UNDER as game 7's have been filled with low-scoring games in this round over the years. In the semi-finals games 6 and 7 have produced 18 points per game less on average than games 1-5. San Antonio is 32-19 UNDER vs. winning teams this season while New Orleans is 22-12 UNDER vs. teams at .600 or better. The Spurs are 13-5 UNDER on the road to a total in the 180s while New Orleans is 17-5 UNDER revenging a road loss (11-1 UNDER if that loss was by double-digits). Hornets and the UNDER here.

4 units on New Orleans -4 (-110) (risk 4 to return 4)
Result:
LOSS
1
2
3
4
T
San Antonio Spurs
23
28
20
20
91
New Orleans Pelicans
20
22
14
26
82
odds odds
 
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