San Antonio at New Orleans

It's hard to ignore the fact that the top two teams in each conference has been covering at an eye-opening rate of 85% (17-3) at home in the playoffs. The Spurs have not had much success when they take to the road against top teams. They have been just 3-10 ATS in this situation since Valentine’s Day. They have put up 102.7 points per game at home in their last 11 against playoff teams, but just 88 ppg on the road. While just two of these opponents reached the century mark against them at home in the last 13, on the road seven of them have reached the century mark in the last 13. New Orleans is 4-1 ATS at home in the playoffs. New Orleans has been wiping-out all top teams at home as they have now won 13 of their last 14 at home over playoff teams and 11 of those have been by double-digits! San Antonio has now lost three straight on this court and they all have been ugly as the average margin has been over 20 points a game. New Orleans takes game 5. We also like the first-half UNDER here. In the first two games in New Orleans, these teams averaged 89.5 first-half points. The Spurs are 16-4 UNDER in the first-half in Game 5s in the playoffs in the Duncan era. Over the past three seasons, they are 18-7 UNDER in the first-half after a home blowout win by 20+ points. The Hornets are 21-11 UNDER in the first-half this season as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are also 17-4 UNDER after having lost 2+ of their last three games ATS. They are also 16-4 UNDER this season revenging a road loss including 10-1 UNDER if the loss was by double digits. Hornets and the first-half UNDER here.