San Antonio is coming off a high-intensity home game last night and had to expend a lot of second-half energy to come from behind to top the Lakers. The Spurs have done most of their damage at home, while struggling on the road where they are 3-7 in their last 10. They haven't been able to cover good size pointspreads on the road, as evidenced by no-covers at Memphis twice, Sacramento and the Los Angeles Clippers. It may look crazy to back the Heat on a 14-game losing streak and 1-13 ATS, but overlay is present. The Heat have been more than competitive at home, as they have dropped only one of their last 10 home games by more than seven points. The Heat are also 7-2 ATS when given this many points or more at home. May look like an easy Spurs' win, but we think otherwise.
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