San Antonio at Miami

Duncan vs. Shaq. The Spurs have grabbed hold of the lead in the West and look to stay there with a win over Miami this afternoon. Miami's off five straight wins but against weak competition. They don't match up well against Western conference teams and will be overmatched here today. This line is low as San Antonio is nearing the end of a brutal road trip but road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after having won 4 of their last 5 games, playing their 3rd road game in 5 days are 41-16 (72%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. San Antonio is 7-1 ATS versus good shooting teams making >46% of their shots this season and 55-33 ATS against winning teams in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. The Spurs defense will frustrate Miami's normally potent offense and San Antonio will walk away with the road win. Two stars on the Spurs.