San Antonio at Memphis

Many NBA teams down 0-3 pack it in, even at home, in that fourth game. However, this series hasn't been like most NBA Playoffs series. It's been even the last two games, with the Spurs winning the past two in overtime.  San Antonio was just over .500 on the road during the regular season, and lost game four at Golden State the last series. Memphis is no pushover, a fine squad that can pound the glass with its big men and plays outstanding defense, tops in the NBA in points allowed. Memphis hadn’t lost at home in the postseason until the last one. It's remarkable -- and a bit of a fluke -- that a team can dominate the glass in a playoff series and still be down 0-3. Memphis has a +18 rebounding edge in the series, including a whopping 48-24 on the offensive glass!  This is not a good situational spot for the aging Spurs, 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games playing on one days rest (they had three days off before the last game), and 3-8 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games. Memphis is on an 18-7-1 ATS run, and the Grizzlies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 against the Western Conference. The Grizzlies will get the win. In addition, look for a slow, defensive game early on. Both teams have played excellent defense in the series, and the Spurs won't want to run working on only one days rest during their second straight road game. The under is 12-3 in the Spurs last 15 road games, and the under is 6-1 in the Grizzlies last seven following a double-digit loss at home. In all three of these games, one team has scored 14, 13, and 13 points in the first quarter, and one team has scored 15, 18, and 20 second quarter points. Two plays for this one: 1) Play the Spurs/Grizzlies First Half UNDER the Total;  2) Play the Memphis Grizzlies on the Money-Line.