This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 5:21PM ET.
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San Antonio at Memphis

February 24, 2006
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Yes, two defensive teams. But 170? That's bargain basement low and I'll be taking advantage of this sale. In their two previous matchups this year, the totals were set at 170 and 172. The games split with one game going UNDER and the other OVER. The game here in Memphis went OVER and their's a reason for that. While 10 of the 14 games in this series over the past three years have gone UNDER, all four of those UNDERs were here in Memphis where the OVER has a 4-3 edge. San Antonio's defense is markedly different on the road vs. at home. Versus very good defensive teams like Memphis, San Antonio is 17-6 OVER during the last three seasons on the road as the public doesn't make this distinction. This total is just too low and I expect the game to go OVER. Two stars on OVER 170.

2 units on Game Total OVER 170 +110 (risk 2 to return 4.2)
Result:
LOSS
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